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National has fallen to 37 per cent but still leads Labor on 33 per cent in the latest 1 News \/ Kantar political poll.<\/p>\n
\nPhoto: RNZ \/ Dom Thomas<\/span><\/span>\n<\/p>\n The poll placed the Green Party, which has faced leadership turmoil, with 9% of the vote, ACT with 11%, NZ First with 3% and Te P\u0101ti M\u0101ori with 2%.<\/p>\n The numbers, if they hold, would mean National and ACT together would have enough seats to form the next government.<\/p>\n It compares with previous results at the end of May: National is steady at 39 per cent, Labor at 35 per cent, Greens at 10 per cent, ACT at 7 per cent and Te P\u0101ti M\u0101ori keeping the balance of power at 2 percent.<\/p>\n At the time, Ardern had been on 33 per cent and Luxon on 25 per cent in “most preferred prime minister” shares.<\/p>\n In this poll, both Ardern and Luxon fell in the PM favorite rankings, with Ardern scoring 30 percent and Luxon 22 percent.<\/p>\n ACT leader David Seymour was up 2 points on 5 per cent, NZ First leader Winston Peters was up 1 on 2 per cent and Greens MP Chl\u00f6e Swarbrick was down one point on 1 for one hundred.<\/p>\n National has just emerged from its first party conference with Luxon as leader, where she announced a new welfare policy that has been heavily criticized by Ardern, Labor and the Greens and some support services groups.<\/p>\n None of this would have been public when the polls were taken, but ongoing struggles with rising inflation, labor shortages, a health sector in crisis and heightened international tensions will have weighed on the concerns of respondents<\/p>\n Between July 30 and August 3, 2022, 1,023 eligible voters were polled by mobile phone (504) and online, using online panels (519).<\/p>\n The maximum sampling error was approximately plus or minus 3.1 percentage points at the 95% confidence level.<\/p>\n