{"id":17691,"date":"2023-05-06T01:54:31","date_gmt":"2023-05-06T01:54:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/news24feed.com\/?p=17691"},"modified":"2023-05-06T01:54:32","modified_gmt":"2023-05-06T01:54:32","slug":"uk-inflation-remains-above-10-for-the-seventh-consecutive-month","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/news24feed.com\/?p=17691","title":{"rendered":"UK inflation remains above 10% for the seventh consecutive month"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"pound-sterling-analysis--talking-points\">ANALYSIS OF THE POUND STERLING AND CONVERSION POINTS<\/h2>\n<p>UK inflation beats forecasts but remains on a downward trend.  Bank of England hike 25bp in May almost certain.  GBP\/USD has yet to show any significant movement after inflation.<\/p>\n<p>\nRecommended by Warren Venketas\n<\/p>\n<p>Get your free GBP forecast\n<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"gbpusd-fundamental-backdrop\">FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT OF GBPUSD<\/h2>\n<p>UK Chancellor Hunt: &#8220;The CPI figures reaffirm exactly why we need to continue our efforts to reduce inflation.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The British pound is slightly weaker against the USD this morning despite UK inflation (see economic calendar below) surprising higher.  The hawkish comments from the Fed&#8217;s Bostic and Bullard seem to be carrying over from the US trading session, but I think as Europe connects, the pound could recoup some lost gains.<\/p>\n<p>ECONOMIC CALENDAR<\/p>\n<p><a data-popup=\"true\" href=\"https:\/\/a.c-dn.net\/b\/4qUkZT\/image1.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span class=\"dfx-text-italic\">Source: <\/span><span class=\"dfx-text-italic\">DailyFX Economic Calendar<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Looking at the CPI chart, the main sectors that have contributed to the inflation impression come from food and non-alcoholic beverages and leisure and culture.  Both the core and headline numbers beat estimates, while the PPI followed suit (albeit below February&#8217;s print).  The UK now remains the nation with the highest inflation rate in Western Europe, putting additional pressure on the Bank of England (BoE).<\/p>\n<p><a data-popup=\"true\" href=\"https:\/\/a.c-dn.net\/b\/4pk2Vm\/image2.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/a.c-dn.net\/b\/4pk2Vm\/image2.png\" alt=\"image2.png\" data-image-original-width=\"577\" data-image-original-height=\"434\" width=\"577\" height=\"434\" class=\"dfx-lazyload\" style=\"padding-bottom: calc(434 \/ 577 * 100%);\" title=\"\"><\/a><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"uk-inflation-to-cement-another-rate-hike-in-may\">UK inflation to cement another rate hike in May?<\/h2>\n<p class=\"dfx-inHouseNewsletterBanner__title mt-0 mb-1 font-weight-bold\">Trade Smarter &#8211; Sign up for the DailyFX newsletter<\/p>\n<p class=\"dfx-inHouseNewsletterBanner__description dfx-font-size-2 mb-4 mb-md-0 mt-0\">Receive timely and compelling market feedback from the DailyFX team<\/p>\n<p>Subscribe to the newsletter<\/p>\n<p>Looking at money market prices below, the BoE is expected to raise interest rates for another <span class=\"dfx-text-bold\">25 bps<\/span> next month with a quasi <span class=\"dfx-text-bold\">100%<\/span> probability!  This week has been particularly important for the UK economy and its incoming data starts with yesterday&#8217;s jobs report which reiterated the tight labor market environment in the UK.  Combining these two data points, the BoE may still need to do more in terms of monetary policy tightening to quell inflationary pressures.  The first hints have come from Chancellor Hunt of the United Kingdom in the previous appointment.  Later today, the BoE&#8217;s Catherine Mann is scheduled to speak and may echo those hawkish sentiments.<\/p>\n<p>BANK OF ENGLAND PROBABLE INTEREST RATES<\/p>\n<p><a data-popup=\"true\" href=\"https:\/\/a.c-dn.net\/b\/35RVzC\/image3.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/a.c-dn.net\/b\/35RVzC\/image3.png\" alt=\"image3.png\" data-image-original-width=\"1147\" data-image-original-height=\"251\" width=\"1147\" height=\"251\" class=\"dfx-lazyload\" style=\"padding-bottom: calc(251 \/ 1147 * 100%);\" title=\"\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span class=\"dfx-text-italic\">Source: Refinitiv<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"technical-analysis\">TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<\/h2>\n<p>GBP\/USD DAILY CHART<\/p>\n<p><a data-popup=\"true\" href=\"https:\/\/a.c-dn.net\/b\/24Ut9r\/image4.png\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/a.c-dn.net\/b\/24Ut9r\/image4.png\" alt=\"image4.png\" data-image-original-width=\"1607\" data-image-original-height=\"778\" width=\"1607\" height=\"778\" class=\"dfx-lazyload\" style=\"padding-bottom: calc(778 \/ 1607 * 100%);\" title=\"\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span class=\"dfx-text-italic\">Picture made by <\/span><span class=\"dfx-text-italic\">Warren Venketas<\/span><span class=\"dfx-text-italic\">GI<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Daily GBP\/USD price action remains centered around the <span class=\"dfx-text-bold\">1.2400<\/span> psychological level as markets reflect on recent data.  I expect more upside for the remainder of the trading day as the Fed has been losing its recent effectiveness, leaving room for GBP strength.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"dfx-text-bold\">Key resistance levels:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span class=\"dfx-text-bold\">Key Support Levels:<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"mixed-ig-client-sentiment\">MIXED FEELING FROM THE IG CUSTOMER<\/h2>\n<p>IG Customer Sentiment (IGCS) data shows that retail traders are currently net <span class=\"dfx-text-bold\">SHORT <\/span>in GBP\/USD with 52% net short traders (as of this writing).  At DailyFX we normally take a contrary view to crowd sentiment, but due to recent changes in long and short positioning, we come to a cautious short-term bias.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"dfx-text-bold\">Contact and follow Warren on Twitter:<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/wvenketas\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">@WVenketas<\/a><\/p>\n<p>    element within element.  Surely this is not what you wanted to do!  Instead, you load your application&#8217;s JavaScript package inside the element. <script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><br \/>\n<br \/>[ad_2]<br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailyfx.com\/news\/forex-gbpusd-breaking-news-uk-inflation-holds-above-10-for-the-7th-consecutive-month-fx-20230419.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>ANALYSIS OF THE POUND STERLING AND CONVERSION POINTS UK inflation beats forecasts but remains on a downward trend. Bank of England hike 25bp in May almost certain. GBP\/USD has yet to show any significant movement after inflation. Recommended by Warren Venketas Get your free GBP forecast FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT OF GBPUSD UK Chancellor Hunt: &#8220;The CPI figures reaffirm exactly why we need to continue our efforts to reduce inflation.&#8221; The British pound is slightly weaker against the USD this morning despite UK inflation (see economic calendar below) surprising higher. The hawkish comments from the Fed&#8217;s Bostic and Bullard seem to be&#8230; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":17692,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17691","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-videos"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/news24feed.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17691","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/news24feed.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/news24feed.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news24feed.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news24feed.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=17691"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/news24feed.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17691\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":17693,"href":"https:\/\/news24feed.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17691\/revisions\/17693"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news24feed.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/17692"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/news24feed.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=17691"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news24feed.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=17691"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news24feed.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=17691"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}