The relocation of migrants from New York City to the northern suburbs could be an encouraging factor in getting people to the polls during Tuesday’s primary election. But then again, that may not be the case.
It depends on participation, said veteran journalist Larry Levy, executive dean of Hofstra University’s National Center for Suburban Studies.
If there is a higher turnout than usual, it could mean that voters are engaged.
“Higher turnout could mean people are gravitating to one side or the other or both,” Levy told Capital Tonight. “That’s the first thing to look at. If it’s the normal low turnout, there’s not much you can do about it.”
There are several cities in the Hudson Valley, including New Rochelle, Yonkers, Kingston, and Poughkeepsie, near which migrants from New York City have moved or have been discussed as possible locations. Bus trips from New York City to upstate hotels have been the subject of much media and political attention.
But Levy cautions against putting too much stock in what local primaries can tell us about next year’s hotly debated vote.
“In the end, until you have a race where there is a major figure at the top of the ticket that people know, who will spend tens of millions of dollars, where the party brands and particular achievements, or lack of achievements. of a particular person, like a governor or a president (are up for grabs), you’re not going to get an accurate representation of what the next big election is going to look like,” he said.
