Zoe’s forecast for Monday night
High pressure is currently strengthening as it approaches. The night will be mild and calm across the state, with clouds moving into western New Mexico overnight and early Tuesday morning. Heat will continue to rise across the state tomorrow as high pressure centers in New Mexico. This will lead to record breaking high temperatures in many parts of the state with dangerous levels of heat.
The heat dome will arrive Tuesday afternoon. This will lead to the warmest temperatures for the next 7 days, and probably the entire year so far. Heat advisories are in effect for most of the state, with excessive heat advisories in effect for Chaves and Eddy counties along with the middle Rio Grande Valley, including metro Albuquerque, with temperatures rising to dangerous levels up to 105 °-112 °.
High pressure will begin to weaken late Tuesday into Wednesday. A large and more powerful low pressure system to the north will squeeze and push the high toward Texas. This will allow monsoonal moisture from northern Mexico to surge across the AZ/NM border, leading to scattered mountain storms across western and northern New Mexico beginning Wednesday and continuing through the weekend ahead.
While scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected in the west, severe thunderstorms are possible in northeastern New Mexico beginning Wednesday. Multiple disturbances and backdoor fronts will draw more moisture into the Northeast, creating a chance for severe weather each afternoon and evening into the final week. Fortunately, the rain will also bring some relief from the extreme heat later in the week and into the weekend.
